President Chandrika could
have waited for another year to face the hustings if she really wanted
it. Having been elected as President on November 09, 1994 for a period
of 6 years, her office under normal circumstances would end only in
2000. But Chandrika went to the polls one year ahead ostensibly for the
reason she wanted “a strong mandate” to push through parliament the
constitutional changes that will result in the abolition of the
Executive Presidency and devolution of power that will solve the ethnic
conflict once and for all.
But Chandrika’s
opponents claimed the real reason for her decision to hold the elections
early had much to do with the deteriorating economy mainly due to
burgeoning defence expenditure. Her opponents had a valid point. How
could a “strong mandate” in a Presidential elections translate
itself into a two-third majority in the Parliament necessary to pass the
constitutional changes?
In the final analysis, far
from obtaining a “strong mandate”, Chandrika has managed to get only
a very weak endorsement thus defeating the very objective of holding
early elections.
A close analysis of the
votes cast reveals the following self-evident truths:
(1)
The percentage of votes obtained by Chandrika has fallen from
62.28 % in 1994 to 51.12 % in 1999, a decrease of a full 11 percentage
points.
(2)
Chandrika has lost the confidence of Tamil voters not only in
Northeast, but in the South as well. Her oft repeated claim that the war
is only against the LTTE “terrorists” and not against the Tamil
people whom she had “liberated from the clutches of the LTTE” now
stands hopelessly discredited.
(3)
The polarization of the two major communities along racial lines
is now complete. This means the birth of Tamil Eelam is one step closer
than any time before.
(4)
Chandrika effectively is now the President of the Sinhalese
people only. She is now a life prisoner in the hands of the Sinhalese
chauvinistic forces as never before.
(5)
Any hope of restoring peace to the beleaguered island has now
evaporated into thin air. Chandrika’s acceptance speech clearly
demonstrates her intention to tread the same beaten path of militarily
defeating the LTTE.
A total of 11.8 million
voters qualified to vote in the elections. The final poll for the 3
major parties showed the following results:
Chandrika
|
4,212,157
|
51.12
%
|
Ranil
|
3,602,748
|
42.71
%
|
JVP
|
344,
173
|
4.08
%
|
The voting pattern showed
that while the rural areas in the South overwhelmingly voted for
Chandrika, urban cities, Northeast and Central province voted for Ranil
Wickremesinghe. The following figures show how Chandrika and Ranil fared
in Colombo and in majority Tamil areas.
In Batticaloa district
Ranil polled 61.19% of the votes compared to Chandrika’s 34.66%. This
was a far cry from the 87.30% (1,44,725 votes) Chandrika won in 1994. In
Trincomalee district Ranil was endorsed by 50.25 % (63,251) compared to
44.96% (56,691) for Chandrika. In Nuwara Eliya district where hill
country Tamils live in large numbers Ranil secured 48.68 (152,836) as
against 46.88% (147,210) for Chandrika.
The only district in the
Northeast which voted more for Chandrika than her opponent was
Digamadulla district where Muslims and Sinhalese are in a majority.
Chandrika secured 55.59 % (149,593) of the votes polled compared to
Ranil’s 40.80% (105,805). Also in Jaffna district Chandrika polled
52,043 votes (46.65%) as against 48,005 votes (43.03%) for Ranil.
Everyone knew what the outcome of the elections in army occupied Jaffna
will be when the PA appointed the mercenary EPDP as its polling agent.
There is no doubt that wholesale rigging of votes by the EPDP in Jaffna
tilted the results in Chandrika’s favour. More on this later.
Chandrika and her acolytes
used to brag mostly for foreign consumption that they had “liberated
the Tamil people from the clutches of the LTTE!” This is good as
saying that the wily fox had liberated the unsuspecting chickens! Even
if the “liberation theory” is true how come ungrateful Tamils
everywhere have voted against her in droves? One positive outcome of
this election is that Chandrika and Co. cannot now claim that the Tamil
people are with them in their fight against the LTTE.
Chandrika Plays the
Sinhala Card…
Sensing defeat at the middle of the election campaign, Chandrika
decided to use the Sinhala card openly to rally the Sinhala-Buddhist
chauvinistic forces which for years had remained the bastion of the
SLFP. In fact right from the inception the cry of country, language and
religion has remained the cornerstone of the SLFP political dogma!
The state controlled media
was garnered to whip up an anti-Tamil communal campaign. The powerful
National Buddhist Council after staging a mass demonstration in Colombo
on December 9, 1999 threw its weight behind President Chandrika. Yellow
robed Buddhist monks urged Sinhalese “to keep the ethnic issue in mind
while casting their ballots on the polling day.” Likewise the
ultra-Buddhist Mahajana Eksath Peramuna led by Dinesh Gunawardene also
pledged support to Chandrika.
Two weeks before the
election Chandrika took into her fold such Sinhala chauvinist
politicians like Nanda Mathew, Dr. Stanley Kalpage, Sunil Munasinghe and
Dr.Sarath Amunugama. This was indicative of her conscious decision to
play the Sinhala card to win the presidential elections.
The Lake House of
newspapers carried out a relentless propaganda barrage which openly
claimed that a vote cast to Ranil is a “Vote for Eelam!” Ranil’s
statement (later denied) that he will hand over Northeast to Prabakaran
for 2 years was exploited to whip up anti-Tamil frenzy. So also
Ranil’s statement in lighter vein that he will hand over Chandrika to
Prabakaran! Apart from publishing articles which heaped praises on
Chandrika’s leadership and achievements, letters to the editor were
also planted to support the conspiratorial theory that Ranil has entered
into a secret pact with LTTE leader Prabakaran to divide Sri Lanka.
Those UNPers working hard
for Ranil were told that “they must remember that they are not working
for UNP or Ranil but for that ruthless killer, fascist Prabhakaran.”
The Daily News (December
18,1999) published a letter written by one Nimal Perera, Colombo 8,
which repeated the charge “that every vote for Ranil is a vote for
Eelam!”
“Surely, the
intelligent, patriotic voters of Sri Lanka will give a telling reply to
all these Traitors on the 21st Dec. This is not just a Presidential
election. This is the day of reckoning for Sri Lanka. The day of the
battle of Patriots Vs. Traitors. This day the Patriots will prove their
loyalty to Mother Lanka by voting for the only credible candidate, Mrs.
Kumaratunga. There will be no spoiling or abstaining. It must be clearly
understood that every vote for Ranil is a vote for Eelam.” (Daily
News-December 18,1999).
For Sinhalese chauvinists,
no history is complete without quoting Mahavamsa and its hero King
Dutugemunu. Dr. Samaraweera writing from far away Australia drew
parallel between King Kavantissa and Ranil.
“For example, over 2000 years ago, it is
recorded in the Mahavamsa, that when King Kavantissa was wilting in the
face of aggression from the North, Prince Gamini (later to become King
Dutugemunu), had sent his father a bundle of female clothing, implying
that King Kavantissa was not fit and had no courage to lead the Sinhala
people who at the beginning of their settlement in Sri Lanka years ago
had adopted the “Lion” as the symbol with a view to projecting
courage, righteousness and braveness. The other important ingredient of
public leadership is, in the striking words of the Mahavamsa being
“One with the religion and the people”.
Dr. Samaraweera does not
offer any explanation why those who “years ago adopted the ‘Lion’
as the symbol with a view to projecting courage, righteousness and
braveness” took flight from Vanni last November instead of staying to
fight “enemy number one”?
Even foreign climes and
liberal democracy have failed to help people like Dr. Samaraweera to
ditch their narrow, sectarian communal blinkers. Hence his battle cry --
“One with the religion and the people!”
Large Scale Vote
Rigging…
Newspaper reports indicate that there had been wide spread vote
rigging despite the presence of foreign and local poll monitors. Vote
rigging included instances of intimidation, booth-capturing, coercion
and violence. The UNP leader described the polling “as the most
fraudulent in the history of the country” at a press conference held
in Colombo.
The appointment of the
mercenary EPDP as the polling agent of Chandrika clearly showed that PA
was banking on vote rigging to win the election in Jaffna. EPDP cadres
who had earlier forcibly removed the electoral lists from the Kachcheri
had a field day stuffing ballots into boxes on the polling day. Tamils
in Aniwatte and Mahaiyyawa in Kandy were threatened and prevented from
voting by supporters of the ruling People’s Alliance (PA) party. Their
polling cards were snatched by PA thugs who warned Tamils not to vote.
TamilNet correspondent
quoting officials in Jaffna said that the large number of votes garnered
by fringe and extremist Sinhala political parties based in the south in
the presidential polls held in Jaffna, indicated general rigging. Even
the extremist Sinhala Buddhist group Maha Sammata Bhoomiputra Party, led
by the little known Harischandra Wijetunga managed to get 818 votes in
the peninsula!
The independent Centre for
Monitoring Election Violence alleged that “The 1999 Presidential
elections conducted Dec.21 was marred by serious election violations,
systematic impersonations and ballot-stuffing, violence and intimidation
of votes, officials and monitors alike, and the abuse of state machinery
and resources, in a significant number of polling centres throughout the
country.”
The successive Sri Lankan
governments in their genocidal war against the Tamil people have used
unrestrained military violence to terrorise them into submission. The
criminilization of politics and brutalization of society in the south
should be seen as a direct result of such military violence against the
Tamil people.
It is a moot point whether
a fair and free election would have made any difference to the final
result. The short answer is probably not. But it is certain Chandrika
would not have passed the 50% mark and thus forcing a second count till
a winner emerges.
Chandrika’s War
Cry…
The acceptance speech by Chandrika is unworthy of a Head of State of
any civilized country. It was an exercise in sanctimonious humbugging
and machiavellian subterfuge. Though she was speaking about hatred, it
was she who lost the cool by exhibiting antipathy. Analysts have
interpreted her speech differently ranging from a call for peace and an
all out war against “terror”. Those who have followed her strategy
of “Peace through War” should entertain no illusion as to what she
really means. Here is what Chandrika said in her acceptance speech:
“I will answer them, indeed the very
wounds I bear will answer them, that there is no individual on this
earth more determined than I am to end this country’s wretched and
mindless bloodshed and destruction. I will answer them that there is
no other political leader in this country who sees so clearly as I do
the enemy that walks so freely about in our land. That enemy is hatred
and he stands in front of me as I speak. I see him. I know him. I, and
my family, and the nation have felt his touch one too many times.”
“Let all those who aid and
abet terror be warned... let those who secretly or openly condone the
path of violence pursued by the cowards of the LTTE be warned: the days
of terror in this land are numbered, and that number is small.’’
In Chandrika’s
vocabulary the word “terror” is a euphemism for LTTE and according
to her wiping our terror means wiping out the LTTE. She mistakenly
thinks she can wage a war in the Northeast without any fallout in the
south. In this respect Ranil spoke sense when he said “We have to face
these threats to our lives when the government decided to bomb and kill
[Tamil] civilians in Mullaitivu.” (TamilNet December 23,1999).
So the war will be
prosecuted even if it means the country goes broke and despite the fact
Chandrika and her uncle Ratwatte have been conducting a brutal and
bloody war at a cost of Rs.5000 billion annually for the last 5 years,
to no end. More than 6000 Sinhalese youths have been unnecessarily
sacrificed in this mad adventure to satisfy the imperial designs of the
Sinhalese ruling class.
The Tamil people are under
no illusion that either Chandrika or Ranil will agree to a just and fair
political settlement. The LTTE leader made this clear when he declared
in his 1999 Heroes’ Day speech that
“We are also aware that Sinhala chauvinistic
leadership will not easily abandon their long standing policy of
military violence and repression against the Tamils. Therefore, we do
not live in fantasy hoping to resolve our national conflict by engaging
in a rational dialogue with Sinhala political leadership.”
Those who sincerely hoped
that the new millennium will usher in peace and prosperity will have to
await till the Sinhala army of occupation is physically thrown out from
Northeast by force. But be assured that days of the Sinhala army are
numbered and that number is small.