| The
        Pirabhakaran Phenomenon | |||
| 
 Is Pirabhakaran a deviant and a merchant of death?   Based
        on these uninterpreted (as of now!) historical data, I assert that the karmic
        theory of death for power holders should gain credence. To put it
        simply, my take on the karmic theory of death for power holders is as
        follows: Excessive abuse of power by power holders leads to homicide
        attempts on them which largely succeed, irrespective of higher level of
        surrounding security. It is based on the degree of abuse of power.
        I’m sure that millions of pious Hindus and Buddhists subscribe to this
        karmic theory. But for reasons of political correctness and expediency
        not many are willing to articulate it publicly and thus it is not given
        adequate academic scrutiny. For
        this analysis, I should record that I benefited from the lecture notes
        of a valuable summer course taught by Prof. Barbara Sirvis (currently,
        President of the Southern Vermont College) two decades ago at the
        University of Illinois. The title of that course was ‘Death
        Education’. God
        bless the Federal Research Division, Library of CongressSuppose a zoologist walks along a
        jungle tract, and comes across two toe nails of a tiger. She then tries
        to present her finding and its implications to biology to her colleagues
        in a professional meeting. She provides her analysis relating to the age
        of the tiger (based on the size of two toe nails found), and the prey of
        the tiger (based on the remnants of flesh entangled in the toe nails).
        To this extent, her interpretations would be gladly accepted by her
        colleagues. Suppose, based from her finding of two toe nails, if
        this zoologist exaggerates her inferences beyond reasonable limits, to
        quantify the heart beat of the tiger or the blood proteins of the tiger
        or the number of progeny of the tiger which lost its two toe nails, then
        she would be laughed off the podium. This is how new findings are
        scrutinized in my professional parish. But, in the world of Tamil Tiger
        observers, scrutiny of facts in context has been a missing
        element relating to the political assassinations. Thus, much muck is
        mixed with kernels of truth. In this chapter, I present an analysis of
        LTTE’s political assassinations as viewed in a world-wide frame.  In the above-cited example, I chose the
        gender of the zoologist with a reason, since two of the ranking culprits
        of such exaggeration on LTTE activities were women, namely Rajani
        Thiranagama (a medical doctor by training) and Radhika Coomarasamy (a
        legal scholar by training). Both were human rights activists of a
        certain caliber, but it is evident from their published pronouncements
        that their blanket denunciation on LTTE activism is flawed with
        gullibility in topics which were beyond their understanding. Their
        flawed literature had served as easy copies for ‘foreign’ area
        specialists (who do not bother to check the original sources in Tamil
        language) from USA and elsewhere. Here is an example.   While web-surfing for research
        materials on Pirabhakaran a few months ago, I came across a document
        entitled, ‘The Sociology and Psychology of Terrorism: Who Becomes a
        Terrorist and Why?’, prepared by the Federal Research Division,
        Library of Congress, Washington DC, with a date-line September 1999.
        Author of this document is identified as Rex A.Hudson, and editor as
        Marilyn Majeska. Even the first paragraph under the sub-head
        ‘Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE), is riddled with errors in
        facts and prejudiced opinions, as indicated below by me within
        parentheses in italics: “The LTTE is widely regarded as the
        world’s deadliest and fiercest guerrilla/terrorist group and the most
        ferocious guerrilla organization in South Asia. It is the only terrorist
        group to have assassinated three (sic) heads of government –
        Indian Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi in 1991, Sri Lankan President
        Ranasinghe Premadasa in 1993, and former Prime Minister Dissanayake (sic)
        in 1994. It has also assassinated several prominent political and
        military figures. The LTTE’s ill-conceived Gandhi assassination,
        however, resulted in the LTTE’s loss of a substantial logistical
        infrastructure, and also the loss of popular support for the LTTE among
        mainstream Indian Tamils. In 1999 the LTTE made two threats on the life
        of Sonia Gandhi (Any convincing evidence in support of 
        this blatant lie  is not divulged. But the author had the temerity 
        to mention not one but two threats!), who has nevertheless
        continued to campaign for a seat in parliament.” If the readers (which may include
        American Poo Bahs and politicians) of this report prepared by the
        ‘Federal Research Division, Library of Congress, Washington DC’ show
        ignorance on recent South Asian affairs, it is not easy to blame them
        since blind regurgitators of mangled facts such as Rex A.Hudson behave
        like the zoologist I referred to at the beginning of this chapter. Assassination
        is an Act with Two Lead Players and Two FramesAn assassination is a violent act with
        two lead players (the assassin and the victim) and two frames.
        Immediately after the assassination act, in the shorter frame, it
        appears to the onlookers and listeners of the news that the assassin was
        the powerful among the two, while the victim was the powerless
        individual - to either suffer and succumb or miraculously escape. This
        is the scenario which is presented to the society by the media. However,
        the hidden longer frame which incorporates vital facts (which in turn
        led to the assassination event) where the victim is the powerful bully
        while the assassin and his or her cohorts were the powerless sufferers
        is conveniently obscured and neglected in non-critical appraisals of the
        assassination event. This scenario remains true since the most famous
        political assassination of Julius Caesar on March 15, 44 B.C. at the
        hands of Brutus and Cassius. Presenting LTTE assassinations,
        beginning from Pirabhakaran’s confessional on the killing of Jaffna
        Mayor Alfred Duraiappah in 1975, as acts of societal deviants gained
        currency from the much-hyped book The Broken Palmyra (1990).
        Though this book has gained an iconic status, none so far has bothered
        to scrutinize the professional credentials of the four authors – Hoole,
        Sritharan, Somasundaram and Thiranagama – to pose as anthropologists
        of Tamil culture. In the preface to their book, the four authors
        modestly claimed ignorance of history. Simple ignorance is excusable.
        But ignorance garbed with academic arrogance is inexcusable. In this respect, I wish to bring to
        light an interesting research paper published by Joseph Westermeyer of
        University of Minnesota in 1973. It was entitled, ‘Assassination and
        Conflict Resolution in Laos’. The ideas presented by Westermeyer in
        this paper are vital to the understanding of the fact how, flawed
        analyses by human rights activists (a la Rajani Thiranagama and
        Radhika Coomarasamy) can distort the established societal norms.
        Westermeyer’s anthropological study is pertinent to the Sri Lankan
        scene in more than one context. His study was conducted in Laos (an
        Asian country, not different from Sri Lanka in cultural norms, with a
        majority practising Buddhism.). Also, Pirabhakaran’s acknowledged
        first assassination (that of Jaffna Mayor Alfred Duraiappah) occurred in
        July 1975. The abstract of Westermeyer’s study is as follows: “Ten cases of political homicide in
        Laos were intensively studied, with particular attention to the
        assassin, the victim, the homicidal event, the provocation, and the
        social context. Each assassination provided a resolution for a social
        dilemma which had proven refractory to other means of social problem
        solving. Certain demographic characteristics and psycho-social
        correlates of political homicide in Laos resemble those of other
        cultures.” [American Anthropologist, 1973, vol.75; pp. 123-131]
          For thoughtful digestion, I provide
        excerpts from Westermeyer’s nine-page anthropological research paper
        – under the subheadings he had identified in his abstract. The
        Assassin“These men were viewed as responsible
        citizens in their various communities. None was known to be particularly
        troublesome to his village, nor had they shown the erratic behavior or
        bizarre mentation of phi baa (insane) people. In no case were any
        of the men incarcerated for their deed, nor was any indemnity paid to
        the family of the victim… The
        Victim“None of these people had ever been
        psychotic; however, the primary victims in cases one through six all had
        demonstrated deviant social behavior. Victim one had robbed and murdered
        on multiple occasions to obtain material goods; social sanctions in his
        village had failed to rehabilitate him… In their role as leaders, however, each
        had exercised poor judgment in discharging his responsibilities to his
        followership…. The
        Provocation“Assassination was preceded by months
        or years of dyssocial behavior by the victim. In the three cases
        involving criminal recidivism, the threat to the group consisted of
        direct violation against person or property. Social pressure and
        traditional village law (a private law) had not ameliorated their
        antisocial habits…. The
        Social Context…Victims in each case held authority
        over the group to which the assassin belonged. Furthermore, the
        positions occupied by all four victims were appointed rather than
        elected ones. Thus, popular vote was not an available means for exerting
        pressure against the victim, and political means have not evolved for
        the removal of appointed officials who prove to be incompetent.” Now, I present the interesting section
        of Westermeyer’s analysis which negates the psychological and
        psychiatric projections on LTTE, made by the authors of The Broken
        Palmyra. It should be reiterated that of the four who authored the Broken
        Palmyra book, two (Thiranagama and Somasunderam) were nominally
        medical scientists and the other two (Hoole and Sritharan) had degrees
        in mathematics. Among the two with medical qualifications, Somasunderam
        identifies himself as a psychiatrist. Excerpts of Westermeyer’s
        analysis under three sub-categories [Assassin as Deviant, Political
        homicide as societal deviance, and Victim as Deviant] are given below. I
        have only omitted the reference sources for reasons of brevity. Assassin
        as DeviantWestermeyer had observed:  “Much has been made of assassins as
        deviants in the historical and psychiatric literature, where they are
        variously described as nefarious, fanatic, lunatic, retarded,
        sociopathic, unstable, and/or mentally ill. Less of the deviant
        interpretation appears in the anthropological literature however….
        Differences between the historical-psychiatric and anthropological
        viewpoints may in part be accounted for by the reliance of the former
        studies on incarcerated assassins; the stress of incarceration might
        accentuate the observed psychopathology. Or assassins in the complex
        societies studied by historians and psychiatrists may perforce be more
        deviant with reference to their fellow citizens than in societies
        studied by anthropologists.”  The subsequent paragraph is vital to
        Pirabhakaran’s much projected role as an assassin. To quote
        Westermeyer again,   “On the other hand, informants in
        societies where assassins remain at large may gloss over their
        assassins’ deviant behavior, since in most cases they do not view the
        assassination itself as a criminal or deviant act. Quite the contrary,
        it is often viewed as a responsible or courageous action. Since the
        assassins continue their lives as before (perhaps with enhanced
        prestige), psychopathology may not be so likely to emerge or be
        noted.”  Westermeyer ends his section on
        ‘Assassin as Deviant’ with a quote from Hyams, who had authored a
        book Killing No Murder; A Study of Assassination as a Political Means
        [1969, London: Nelson and Sons].  “From a social perspective, Hyams
        assumes neither the condemning nor absolving stance in describing the
        assassin. Instead, he emphasizes the social function served by the
        assassin: ‘So the assassin – the genuine assassin, not the
        murderous lunatic – is, as it were, that particularly sensitive cell
        of the social body which reacts first and most quickly to preserve the
        social body.’  The authors of Broken Palmyra
        presented the image of Eelam Tamil society as having become pathological
        and undergoing stress due to the emergence of LTTE as a lead player in
        the 1980s. Westermeyer again negates such a view.   Political
        Homicide as Societal DevianceTo quote Westermeyer again,  “Some investigators implicate
        assassination as a sign of a pathological society, a society in
        transition, or a society undergoing stress…Work by Dole and Friedrich,
        as well as these Laotian data, suggest that this need not be so:
        political homicide can be a functional part of a stable society….In
        sum, the assassination/social disorganization relationship does not
        appear to be a simplistic one based on the cross-cultural data presently
        available.”  I consider the third sub-category in the analysis of Westermeyer entitled ‘[Assassination] Victim as Deviant’ is the most revealing to understand Pirabhakaran’s projected role as an assassin of Duraiappah. And it is this sub-category which has been completely ignored or hidden for reasons of convenience in the publications of individuals belonging to the Sri Lanka’s human rights industry, who proliferated in the 1990s. Thus, what Westermeyer found in his 1973 study on Laotian assassinations is highly pertinent to the assassinations in Eelam and Sri Lanka of 1980s and 1990s as well. Victim
        as Deviant“The evidence here is perhaps not so
        ambiguous as it is for assassins and for political homicide…Friedrich
        (1962) posits tyrannical use of power, struggle for power, or kinship
        revenge as motivating most assassinations among the Tarascans of Acan… Among the Laotian cases, half of these instances of social peer assassination involved criminal recidivism. Where the usual methods for modifying antisocial behavior fail, however, there has traditionally been no recourse to state imposed sanctions. Since traditional law has been exclusively a private law, the community would tolerate destructive or dangerous behavior ad nauseum, i.e., until some person or persons became motivated enough to do away with the recidivist. For this category of social problem, then, political homicide has served as a final solution to the problem of social deviants whose dangerous behavior has proven refractory to ordinary means of rectification. ….The victims served in a particular
        kind of leadership role; they were appointed from further up the
        governmental hierarchy, rather than popularly chosen by a constituency.
        These four leaders, ordinary men in other respects, had erred in the
        same way: they had inordinately abused their power vis-à-vis their
        subordinate group. By excessive corruption, seduction, disrespect, or
        indolence, they failed in their responsibilities toward their followers.
        Since these men wielded considerable power and occupied authoritative
        positions important to the welfare of their subordinates, their behavior
        gradually became intolerable to the subordinate group. Eventually, one
        of their subordinates executed them, and received the approval (and
        protection) of the subordinate group in doing so.”  Westermeyer’s conclusion (as well as
        caveat) of his findings is worth recording, to highlight the context of
        assassinations of political leaders such as 
        Alfred Duraiappah, Sam Tambimuttu, Neelan Tirchelvam and rival
        militant leaders belonging to TELO and EPRLF by LTTE. He wrote,   “Regarding assassination of political
        leaders, this small Laotian sample does not lend itself to expansive
        theorizing. Nonetheless, a common theme prevails: the victim leaders
        have taken inordinate liberties with the power available to them, or
        have failed to discharge their leadership obligations. Such leaders
        appear not to comprehend the traditional responsibilities of their
        positions: while the elite have always exercised considerable dominion
        over peasants, such authority is not unlimited…the leader must also
        commit himself to the well-being and the dignity of the governed. Should
        the leader ignore these responsibilities, the situation is fraught with
        danger…Slow, indirect politicking may prove effective given sufficient
        time. If too slow or inept, politicking may give way to assassination as
        a means for social problem solving.  In sum, problems which may lead to
        assassination are of such magnitude that they threaten the existence of
        the community. Other means of social problem solving either have been
        exhausted without effect or are not available. Under such circumstances
        political homicide serves as a ‘court of last resort’ in social
        conflict resolution.”  Since Westermeyer’s study sample was
        restricted to ‘ten cases of political homicide in Laos’, to analyze
        in depth the anthropological context of political assassinations by the
        LTTE, I refer to two additional studies with extensive world-wide
        samples. But, prior to that, I provide some general facts on
        assassinations.  General
        Facts on Assassinations Four modes of death exist for humans.
        These are, natural death, accident, suicide and homicide. For
        convenience of remembering, they are identified in abbreviation as NASH.
        One of the subcategories of homicide is assassination. The English word
        ‘assassin’ (defined as, one who kills, especially one who murders a
        political figure) is derived from the Arabic word hashshashin,
        relating to users of hashish. Political assassination is a
        sub-subcategory of homicide.  If one checks the relative percentages
        of the modes of death in a nation’s population per annum, natural
        deaths exceeds 90 percent. Other three modes of death contribute at the
        maximum 8 or 9 percent of total deaths. For illustration, I will provide
        recent figures for USA and Japan, where statistics on the four modes of
        death are available. 2 million and 322,421 individuals died in USA for
        the year 1996. Among these, 2 million and 177,447 individuals (93.76
        percent) died a natural death; 93,874 individuals (4.04 percent) died in
        accidents; 30,862 individuals (1.33 percent) died by suicide; and,
        20,738 individuals (0.89 percent) were victims of homicide. The pattern
        is similar in Japan as well. Among the 896,211 individuals died in 1996,
        824,192 individuals (91.96 percent) died a natural death. Accidental
        deaths amounted to another 4.3 percent. Suicide victims constituted
        around 3.5 percent and about 0.15 percent of the total deaths were
        homicide victims. The notable difference between the suicide and
        homicide percentages between the American and Japanese populations can
        be chiefly attributed to cultural tolerance of suicide in Japan and
        societal acceptance of non-restricted use of hand guns in USA. These
        figures taken together reveal that deaths due to homicide in an year
        among the larger public in a population with relative social stability
        comprises less than one percent of total deaths.  Surprisingly, this pattern does not
        hold for nominal political power holders, power sharers and power
        peddlers (among which are to be included informants, spies,
        collaborators). However, vilifying Pirabhakaran is a cottage industry
        of the Colombo press since 1985. Here is a short passage of vitriol
        penned by one W.T.Singha in mid 2002, under the title, ‘Prabhakaran
        – Is he Goethe’s daemon?’  “… Is this that person who was
        responsible for savagely murdering of a democratically elected President
        of Sri Lanka, for the suicide bombing of the much loved Prime Minister
        of India – the grandson of Nehru, and the crème de la crème of
        Singhalese – Presidential candidates and eminent politicians – for
        butchering leading Tamil politicians who did not tow the line of
        Prabhakaran’s racism and for the bomb attacks on internationally
        recognised Tamil intellects who opposed his sanguinary mania? Did
        Premadasa, Rajiv, Ranjan, Gamini, Amirthalingam, Lalith, Tiruchelvam,
        Doraiswami and others deserved such brutal extermination? A single
        assassination of a high ranking politician is in itself vicious but to
        arrogate to himself the right to kill leading politicians and eminent
        people in such great number, mostly for flimsy disagreement or political
        dissension, could be the perpetration of an evil incarnate or
        megalomania…” [The Island newspaper, Colombo, July 10, 2002.]  While (1) paying due allowance the fact
        that W.T.Singha appears completely ignorant of the classic analytical
        study of Westermeyer in Laos (60 percent Buddhist) relating to political
        assassinations in an Asian society not different from Sri Lanka, (2)
        asserting that as of now, Pirabhakaran had not been convicted in
        a court of law for the assassinations of all the individuals  mentioned in the above passage, (3) strongly doubting that all
        these named individuals in their ranks as politicians did not abuse
        power, and also (4) recognizing the unmentionable facts that four of
        the named individuals had been previously targets of assassins
        (Premadasa - JVP in 1987, Rajiv Gandhi – JVP in 1987 and Sikh
        militants in 1991, Amirthalingam – Sinhalese mob in 1956, Lalith
        Athulathmudali – JVP in 1987)  other than LTTE, I now refer to the two published studies to
        refute the views held by correspondents and journalists (not necessarily
        Sri Lankan) like W.T.Singha and Gamini Weerakoon, the editor of
        Colombo’s Island newspaper.  The
        assassinations of politically powerful persons Both studies which deserve attention
        (but have been conveniently ignored by LTTE’s critics) originate from
        USA, and are from two institutions with rather impeccable credentials-
        namely, the New York Times and the CIA. These are as follows:  1.    
        James
        F.Kirkham, Sheldon G.Levy and William J.Crotty: Assassination and
        Political Violence: A Report to the National Commission on the Causes
        and Prevention of Violence, New York Times - Bantam Books, New York,
        1970, 752 pages. Especially of value for the current discussion is the
        Appendix A of this report (pp.301-325), which provides data on
        assassination events from November 1918 to October 1968. This
        extensive data was collected by Carl Leiden, Murray Havens, Karl Schmitt
        and James Soukup belonging to the Department of Government, University
        of Texas, Austin, in 1968.  2.    
        Leslie
        R.Pyenson, Laurence A.Cove and Francic X.Brickfield: Patterns of death
        in world leaders. Military Medicine, Dec.1998, vol.163, no.12,
        pp.797-800. Especially of interest is the professional affiliation of
        the authors, namely CIA, Washington DC. In this interesting analysis,
        Pyenson and his colleagues have reviewed the deaths of all political
        leaders, who died between January 1, 1965 and December 31, 1996.  Leiden and colleagues (1968) had
        identified the assassination victims into six ranks. To the rank no.1
        was assigned, ‘Head of State, head of government, or dictator; former
        head of state or head of state-elect, e.g: presidents, kings,
        premiers.’ Pyenson and colleagues (1998) defined their assassination
        victims (world leaders) as ‘those who at any time during their careers
        were a country’s principal decision-maker, exercising final authority
        for formulation and execution of national government policies. The
        positions they held included monarch, president, prime minister, party
        secretary or chairman, supreme religious authority or head of junta.’
        Thus the data assembled by Leiden’s group and Pyenson’s group are
        more or less compatible but not identical. Subtle differences
        need notice. First, while Leiden’s group had pooled the heads of state
        and former heads of state into a single list, Pyenson’s group had
        separated the heads of state and former heads of state into two separate
        lists. Secondly, while Leiden’s group had identified each of the
        assassination victim by name, country, date of assassination and also
        included unsuccessful assassination attempts, Pyenson’s group
        belonging to CIA have not provided such complete details. Thus, the
        summarised information in the paper of Pyenson’s group has to be
        believed in good faith. Thirdly, Pyenson’s group had indicated that
        their study population was ‘non-U.S. world leaders’ since ‘CIA
        regulations prohibit the study of U.S. citizens.’ This partly explains
        why their study period begins from January 1, 1965 because by this
        choice they could conveniently exclude the assassination of President
        John F.Kennedy from the study population.   Since the time frame studied by both
        groups overlap between January 1965 and October 1968, six heads of state
        and former heads of state who died during this overlapping period would
        have been counted in both studies. Taking this into consideration, from
        the extensive tabulated listing of Leiden’s group, 
        I counted 63 heads of state and former heads of state as
        assassination victims between November 1918 and December 1964. [Leiden
        group’s data on heads of state and ex head of state is presented below
        as Appendix 1.] The study presented by Pyenson’s group, informs that
        between January 1965 and December 1996, 52 heads of state and 16 former
        heads of state died by violent means.   Thus, between November 1918 and
        December 1996 (a turbulent 78 year period of the 20th century
        which saw the ascension and decline of communism, vanishing of 
        overt colonialism, world war and regional wars, genocides,
        dominance of weapon industry and proliferation of nations), based on the
        assembled statistics of Leiden’s group and Pyenson’s group, a total
        of 131 (63 + 52 + 16) heads of state and former heads of state had died
        violently. This is certainly an under-count, since Pyenson’s group
        also excluded “countries – essentially a score of island states –
        with populations less than 250,000”. Furthermore, some reported
        ‘accidents’ to leaders which resulted in mortality could have really
        been homicides.  I wish to further identify the
        significance of the findings Pyenson’s group which focused on the
        violent deaths of political leaders who died between 1965 and 1996,
        since two of the attributed victims of Pirabhakaran’s deeds – namely
        Rajiv Gandhi (in 1991) and R.Premadasa (in 1993) – would have been
        counted in this study. The findings of Pyenson’s group are as follows:  (1) 
        261
        world leaders died between 1965 and 1996.  (2) 
        Of
        these 261 world leaders, 118 died while in office; only 66 (56 percent)
        died by natural causes. Remaining 52 died by violent (unnatural) causes,
        of which 35 died by assassination. To reiterate, 30 percent of titular
        heads of state died by assassination during their terms of office.
        R.Premadasa was one of the 35 heads of state to die during this study
        period.  (3) 
        Among
        the 143 world leaders who died after leaving office, 16 died by violent
        (unnatural) causes, of which 10 were by assassination. Rajiv Gandhi was
        one of the 10 ex heads-of state to die during this study period.  What is revealing from this statistic
        provided by the CIA researchers is that, percentage wise, there is a
        marked difference between the assassination deaths among larger public
        and the assassination deaths of heads of state and ex heads of state. In
        the discussion section of their paper, the CIA researchers inferred as
        follows:   “Our first impressions, nevertheless,
        do call into question some prevalent beliefs or intuitive assumptions,
        which, in turn, may have practical planning implications.  (1) 
        World
        leaders are not superhuman. By all accounts, they receive the best
        medicines, technology and professional services their country can offer
        or import, and generally they can travel to the best institutions in the
        world when required…  (2) 
        It
        is not at all unusual for leaders to die violently, especially while in
        office. Death from assassination or other external means occurs commonly
        among world leaders, often wile they are in office. Almost half of those
        leaders who died were still in office, and almost half of that group
        died violently. Overall, violent deaths accounted for a surprisingly
        large proportion of the totals in both the mortality analysis group
        (26%) and the 1980 cohort (40% through 1996). By comparison, although it
        represented only a single year’s experience, in 1993, violent death
        constituted less than 7% of deaths among the U.S. population.”  Unfortunately, unlike Leiden’s group,
        CIA’s Pyenson’s group has not provided the individual details
        of the deaths of 261 world leaders between 1965 and 1996. A letter sent
        to Dr.Pyenson’s address in Washington DC. by me, dated Dec.12, 2002,
        requesting such individual details for research has gone unanswered as
        of now. Thus, I cannot further comment on the significance of the
        reported findings. But in their study, Pyenson’s group had stated that
        their data was gathered “using unclassified information from readily
        available English-language or translated newspapers, books,
        periodicals”.   Also to be noted is that, in their
        first finding reproduced above, Pyenson’s group use an
        all-encompassing clause “technology and professional services their
        country can offer or import” which include medical service as well as
        security service. Despite all the top-level security they are
        surrounded with, if such a high number of heads of state or ex heads of
        state succumb to assassination, I would consider that here is a
        circumstantial proof for the karma theory in action. As a nominal
        believer in the karma theory, I have never come across a study like that
        of Pyenson’s group to provide some statistical support for the karma
        theory of death for power holders.  In sum, it is my contention that the
        statistical data on the assassinations of politicians at international
        level between 1918 and 1996 convincingly demonstrate that the
        assassination events of heads of state such as Rajiv Gandhi and
        Premadasa lie within the probability range of the observed pattern of
        assassination deaths of power-holding politicians, irrespective of
        whether LTTE and Pirabhakaran had a direct or indirect hand in them or
        not. The assassination issue is further muddled with the facts that both
        Rajiv Gandhi (at the hands of Sinhalese in 1987 and Sikhs in 1991) and
        Premadasa (at the hand of JVP radicals in 1987) were assassination
        targets prior to their eventual deaths.   The oft-repeated claim by LTTE
        watchers like Rohan Gunaratna that “LTTE is the only terrorist group
        to have assassinated two heads of government” is also tenuous by
        omission and deception. It is an open secret that Intelligence agencies
        like CIA, Mossad and RAW which for all practical purposes technically
        operate as ‘under-cover terrorist groups’ in the soils of
        adversarial nations and territories have successfully planned and
        executed the assassinations of numerous heads of state who were counted
        in the studies of Leyden’s group and Pyenson’s group.  Regicides
        in pre-colonial Buddhist Ceylon “The more powerful and prestigious
        the office, the greater likelihood of assassination.” 
        was the first conclusion derived by Kirkham, Levy and Crotty
        (1970), based on the analysis of 81 of the recorded political
        assassinations or attempted assassinations between 1835 (beginning from
        President Andrew Jackson) and 1968 (ending with Presidential aspirant
        Robert Kennedy) in USA. As I know of, such a statistical analysis
        covering a span of over 100 years on assassinations and attempted
        assassinations on politicians is hardly available in either Sri Lanka or
        India, for the equivalent period of 19th and 20th
        centuries. In the absence of such an exhaustive study, the projection of
        LTTE’s and Pirabhakaran’s role as assassins or social deviants has a
        profound bias. However, it should also be exposed that the much-vaunted,
        pre-colonial Sinhala monarchic traditions of Ceylon accomodated
        assassinations as a practical tool in the change of regimes.  British colonial authority Sir James
        Emerson Tennent’s 1859 work on Ceylon still stands as an exhaustive
        source book on the despotic and wild form of Buddhist monarchic
        tradition which prevailed in the pre-colonial Lanka for 2,000 years. I
        reproduce two paragraphs (with two extensive foot-notes providing
        statistics on regicides and successions) from Tennent’s observations,
        which appears under the chapter 6 entitled, ‘The Influence of Buddhism
        on Civilisation’. To quote Tennent,  “The long line of sovereigns is
        divided into two distinct classes; the kings of Maha-wanse or
        ‘superior dynasty’ of the uncontaminated blood of Wijayo, who
        occupied the throne from his death, B.C. 505, to that of Maha Sen,
        A.D.302; and the Sulu-wanse or ‘inferior race’, whose descent
        was less pure, but who, amidst invasions, revolutions, and decline,
        continued, with unsteady hand, to hold the government down to the
        occupation of the island by Europeans in the beginning of the sixteenth
        century.  “….Neither the piety of the kings
        nor their munificence sufficed to conciliate the personal attachment of
        their subjects, or to strengthen their throne by national attachment
        such as would have fortified its occupant against the fatalities
        incident to despotism. Of fifty one sovereigns who formed the pure Wijayan
        dynasty, two were disposed by their subjects, and nineteen put to death
        by their successors. [Foot-note by Tennent: There is something
        very striking in the facility with which aspirants to the throne
        obtained the instant acquiescense of the people, as soon as assassination
        had put them in possession of power. And this is the more remarkable,
        where the usurpers were of the lower grade, as in the instance of Subho,
        a gate porter, who murdered King Yasa Silo, A.D. 60, and reigned for six
        years (Mahawamsa, ch.xxxv.p.218). A carpenter, and a carrier of
        fire-wood, were each accepted in succession of sovereigns, A.D. 47;
        whilst the great dynasty was still in the plenitude of its
        popularity. The mystery is perhaps referable to the dominant necessity
        of securing tranquility at any cost, in the state of society where the
        means of cultivation were directly dependent on the village organisation….]”  Tennent continues further and provides
        an interesting statistic of Sinhalese regicides as follows:  “Excepting the rare instances in
        which a reign was marked by some occurrence, such as an invasion and
        repulse of the Malabars, there is hardly a sovereign of the ‘Solar
        race’ whose name is associated with a higher achievement than erection
        of a dagoba or the formation of a tank, nor one whose story is enlivened
        by an event more exciting than the murder through which he mounted the
        throne or the conspiracy by which he was driven from it. [Foot-note
        by Tennent: In theory the Singhalese monarchy was elective in the
        descendants of the Solar race; in practice, primogeniture had a
        preference and the crown was either hereditary or became the prize of
        those who claimed to be of royal lineage. On viewing the succession of
        kings from B.C. 307 to A.D. 1815, thirty nine eldest sons (or nearly one
        fourth), succeeded to their fathers; and twenty nine kings (or more than
        one fifth) were succeeded by brothers. Fifteen reigned for a period less
        than one year, and thirty for more than one year and less than four. Of
        the Singhalese kings who died by violence, twenty two were murdered by
        their successors; six were killed by other individuals; thirteen fell in
        feuds and war, and four committed suicide; eleven were dethroned, and
        their subsequent fate is unknown. Not more than two-thirds of the
        Singhalese kings retained sovereign authority to their decease, or
        reached the funeral pile without a violent death. See also, Mahawanso,
        ch.xxiii, p.201.” [Book: Ceylon, vol.1, 1859 facsimile print in
        1999, pp.360-361.]  The statistics presented by Tennent on
        the Sinhalese monarchs who were homicide victims [a total of 22
        sovereigns among 153 - in a period of 2,000 years - murdered by their
        immediate successors] is astounding and parallels the finding of
        CIA’s Pyenson’s group on the fate of non-USA heads of state between
        1965 and 1996. In a subsequent page, Tennent had provided the following
        statistic:  “Of the sixty two sovereigns who
        reigned from the death of Maha Sen, A.D. 301, to the accession of
        Parakrama Bahu, A.D. 1153, nine met a violent death at the hands of
        their relatives or subjects, two ended their days in exile, one was
        slain by the Malabars and four committed suicide.” [ibid,
        p.385]   This means, during a period spanning
        852 years, ten of the 62 sovereigns – nearly one in every six – were
        eliminated by violent deaths.  In
        the post-Parakrama Bahu period, between A.D. 1153 and A.D. 1527,
        according to Tennent, fates of seven sovereigns were decided by
        homicides. [see, Appendix 2 below for a complete listing of sovereigns
        who were victims of homicide.] In sum, a total of 32 of the 153
        sovereigns – one in five who ascended to the throne – were homicide
        victims, during the 2,000 years of recorded despotic monarchic
        tradition of the island.   A
        Synopsis on the fates of post-colonial Sri Lankan heads of state The pattern of death seen for the
        pre-colonial Buddhist monarchs of the island seems to prevail even in
        the post-colonial Sri Lanka, lasting only 55 years. The labeling of
        post-colonial Sri Lanka as a democracy by the international press is a
        misrepresentation of serious proportions committed by reporters and
        analysts who do not bother to do their home work. The pre-colonial
        monarchic tradition continues to hold, so that the Sri Lankan version of
        democracy is in reality a despotic nepocracy (feudal nepotism
        laced with bells and whistles of democracy) , with seven of the heads of
        state emerging from only two families : Senanayakes (father and son) and
        Bandaranaikes (husband, wife and daughter). Two other heads of state,
        namely Kotelawala and Jayewardene, were related to these two families by
        lineage and marriage.   Of the ten heads of state, two died by
        assassinations and one died by accident. In addition, there were
        assassination and devious dethroning attempts on another three heads of
        state. The data is as follows:  1.    
        Don
        Stephen Senanayake – died by horse-riding accident in March 1952.  2.    
        Dudley
        Senanayake [son of #1] – natural death in 1973.  3.    
        John
        Kotelawala [nephew of #1] – natural death in 1980.  4.    
        Solomon
        W.R.D.Bandaranaike – died by assassination in Sept. 1959 by a cabal of
        disgruntled Buddhist monks.  5.    
        W.Dahanayake
        – natural death in 1996.  6.    
        Sirimavo
        Bandaranaike [wife of #4; escaped coup d’e-tat in 1962 by state’s
        armed forces and unconstitutional dethroning in 1971 by Sinhalese JVP]
        – natural death in 2000.  7.    
        J.R.Jayewardene
        [escaped assassination on Aug.18, 1987 by JVP] – natural death in
        1996.  8.    
        R.Premadasa
        [escaped assassination on Aug.18, 1987 by JVP 
        while serving as prime minister and before his own ascension as
        head of state] - died by assassination in May 1993 attributed to LTTE,
        when the country was under a state of war. Belonging to an inferior
        caste group, Premadasa also escaped a devious dethroning attempt in 1991
        by competitors within his own party who belonged to the higher Govigama
        caste.  9.    
        D.B.Wijetunge
        – still living.  10.
        Chandrika
        Kumartunga [daughter of #4 and #6] - escaped assassination on Dec.20,
        1999 by LTTE, when the country was under a state of war. Still living.  Among the ten post-colonial Sri Lankan
        heads of state, two outsiders [Dahanayake and Wijetunge] were stop-gap
        ascensions, following successful assassinations. LTTE is implicated with
        the dethroning attempts of Premadasa (#8) and Chandrika Kumaratunga
        (#10), of which that of Premadasa was successful. Technically, when
        LTTE’s dethroning attempts occurred in 1993 and 1999 respectively,
        LTTE was in war with its adversary - the Sri Lankan government, and the
        Sri Lankan head-of-state was the nominal Commander in Chief.  The despotic nepocracy of post-colonial
        Sri Lanka reached its zenith, between 1994 and 1999, when the quartet
        who made vital decisions on behalf of the state consisted of President
        Chandrika Kumaratunga (a professional neophyte), President’s mother
        and prime minister Sirimavo Bandaranaike (then a senile professional
        invalid), President’s uncle and Deputy Defense Minister Gen. Anuruddha
        Ratwatte (a professional imbecile) and the Foreign Minister Lakshman
        Kadirgamar (a  professional sin-eater). That the seeds for despotic
        nepocracy were sown with the two dethroning attempts on Sirimavo
        Bandaranaike made by the state’s armed forces in 1962 and the
        Sinhalese youth insurrection of 1971 should not be overlooked. That the
        despotic nepocracy had reached a level of troubling concern by the end
        of 1975 (when the general elections due in 1975 were postponed for the
        first time by two years) was evident by the famous expose by the Time
        magazine in its graphic feature, ‘All in the Family’, which showed
        eleven members of the then ruling clan who were kin of the then prime
        minister Sirimavo Bandaranaike. Even the current President Chandrika was
        featured in this ‘Ruling clan’ family tree as the ‘Director, Land
        Reform Commission’. The first paragraph of Time’s brief
        commentary said it all:  “ ‘The last word in family
        planning’ is how Britain’s Guardian described it. The paper
        was referring to the Bandaranaike clan of Sri Lanka (formerly Ceylon),
        who have managed to turn government into something of a family affair.
        At the head of the Indian Ocean republic is Mrs. Sirimavo Bandaranaike,
        the Prime Minister and widow of S.W.R.D.Bandaranaike, who held this post
        from 1956 until he was assassinated by a Buddhist monk in 1959. Since
        Mrs. Bandaranaike was last elected in 1970, an imposing number of her
        relatives – both from her own family, the feudal Ratwatte clan, and
        her in-laws, the equally aristocratic Bandaranaikes – have assumed
        high office.” [Time magazine, Asian edition, Dec.15, 1975,
        p.36]  Thus, even the assassination of the
        then Jaffna mayor Alfred Duraiappah in July 1975, a loyal retainer of
        the despotic Bandaranaike clan, by Pirabhakaran has to be viewed from
        such an anthropological context presented by Joseph Westermeyer.  To comprehend LTTE’s viewpoint on its
        unsuccessful dethroning attempt made on President Chandrika Kumaratunga,
        I present the currently prevailing view of American executive
        (Presidential) wing of power, as it appeared in a news report
        originating from Washington DC, relating to Afghanistan campaign.  “…A presidential order from 1976
        bars political assassinations. The president can waive the order, as has
        been done for Osama bin Laden. But for Mullah Omar [the supreme leader
        of Taliban] the Bush administration has invoked a old principle of
        warfare to overcome that restriction. The commander of an enemy army is
        fair game, and strikes against him are not an assassination but an
        attack on the adversary’s command and control. Even before the United
        States unleashed its air strikes, President George W. Bush had made it
        clear that the mullah was a potential target…” [news report: ‘U.S.
        admits it’s trying to kill Taliban Leader’, by Michael Gordon and
        Tim Weiner, International Herald Tribune, Oct.17, 2001, p.2]  If Bush administration can adhere to
        the old principle of warfare that ‘The commander of an enemy army
        is fair game’, there is nothing illogical to advance a claim that
        the LTTE’s past attempts on two Sri Lankan heads of state also fall
        within the boundaries of the old principle of warfare. What’s good for
        the goose is good for the gander as well, isn’t it? I should add that
        I’m not validating LTTE’s assassination attempts on the two Sri
        Lankan heads of state. Rather, I have presented an answer to the
        ‘why’ on the assassination attempts of 1993 and 1999 from LTTE’s
        point of view. It should not be forgotten that in the context of  war-time strategy, attacks on the adversary’s command and
        control is not a deviant measure, especially if one like
        Pirabhakaran was facing such a measure from his adversary. Only an
        ignoramus and one who is inadept in military tactics could label it as
        ‘terrorism’.   Thus, based on the available
        anthropological, historical and criminological evidences relating to
        assassinations - assembled in this chapter, I would infer that
        Pirabhakaran is not a deviant or a merchant of death, as viewed by his
        adversaries. The contrary point of view will be proved true, only
        when sufficient data on political assassinations from Sri Lanka and
        elsewhere can be presented to dismantle the established facts assembled
        in this chapter. [To be Continued.]   Appendix 1 Successful Assassinations of Heads of State between Nov.1918 and Oct.1968 [source: James F.Kirkham, Sheldon G.Levy and William J.Crotty, 1970, pp.301-325] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name of Head of State          Country                
        Date of Assassination ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1. Paes Sidonia                    
        Portugal                         
        Dec.16, 1918 2. 2.Habibullah Khan            Afghanistan      
                     
        May 17, 1919 3. Carranza, V. Mexico May 21, 1920 4. Droubi Pasha Syria Aug.23, 1920 5. Dato Eduardo                  
        Spain
                                    
        Mar.9, 1921 6. Dos Santos Machado        Portugal                         
        Oct.21, 1921  7. Granjo Antonio                
        Portugal                         
        Oct.21, 1921 8. Hara Takashi                    
        Japan
                                    
        Nov.5, 1921 9. Narutowicz Gabriel           
        Poland             
                     
        Dec.16, 1922 10. Stambuliski Alexander      Bulgaria                      
                       
        1923 11. Petlura Simon Poland May 25,1926 12. Obregon Alvaro Mexico Jul.17, 1928 13. Hamaguchi Yuko             
        Japan
                                   
        Nov.14, 1930 14. Doumer Paul                   
        France                    
              May
        7, 1932  15. Tsuyoshi Inukai Japan May 16, 1932 16. Sanchez Cerro, L.M.        Peru                              
        Apr.30, 1933 17. Nadir Shah Afghanistan Nov.8, 1933 18. Duca Ion G.                   
        Rumania                         
        Dec.30, 1933 19. Sandino, A.C.                
        Nicaragua                        
        Feb.23, 1934 20. von Schleicher, K.          
        Germany                      
           Jun. 1934 21. Dollfus Engelbert        
            Austria                
                    Jul.25,
        1934 22. Okada, Admiral        
               Japan
                                     
        Feb.26, 1936 23. Saito, Viscount               
        Japan
                                      
        Feb.26, 1936 24. Sidki Bakr Iraq Aug.12, 1937 25. Calinescu Armad Rumania Sep.21, 1939 26. Iorga, Nicolas                  
        Rumania                          
        Nov.29, 1940 27. Enriquez, General A. Ecuador May 31, 1942 28. Boris Bulgaria Aug.24, 1943 29. Maher Pasha Ahmed Egypt Feb. 24, 1945 30. Mahidol Ananda              
        Siam (Thailand)                Jun.11, 1946 31. Villaroel Gualberto Bolivia Jul.21, 1946 32. San U Aung Burma Jul.19, 1947 33. Yahya ibn Mohammed Yemen Feb.17, 1948 34. Gaitan Jorge E. Columbia Apr. 9, 1948 35. Nukrashy Pasha Mahmoud/Egypt Dec. 28, 1948 36. Arana Francisco Javier Guatemala Jul.19, 1948 37. Al-Barazi Muhsin Syria Aug.14, 1949 38. Zaim Husni Syria Aug.14, 1949 39. Hazhir Abdul-Hysayn Iran 1950 40. Al Hinnawi, Col. Sami Lebanon Oct.31, 1950 41. Delgado Chalbaud Carlos Venezuela Nov.13, 1950 42.
        Razmara
        Ali                      
        Iran                                
        Mar.8, 1951 43. Al Sulh Riad Jordan Jul.16, 1951 44. Abdullah                  
               
        Jordan                   
                 Jul.20, 1951 45. Liaquat Ali Khan Pakistan Oct.16, 1951 46. Remon Jose Antonio         Panama                           
        Jan.2, 1955 47. Al Malki, Lt.Col. Adnan Syria Apr.22, 1955 48. Somoza Anastasio Nicaragua Sep.21,1956 49. Castillo Armas Carlos Guatemala Jul.26,1957 50. Adul Ilah Iraq Jul.14,1958 51. Faisal II Iraq Jul. 14,1958 52. Nuri Al-Said Iraq Jul.16,1958 53. Bandaranaike Solomon Ceylon Sep. 25,1959 54. Majali Hazza
                             
        Jordan               
                   
        Aug.29, 1960 57. Rivagasore Louis Burundi Oct. 1961 58. Olympio Sylvanus Togo Jan. 13, 1963 59. Kassem Abdul Karim Iraq Feb. 9, 1963 60. Ngo Dinh Diem                 
        South Vietnam             
           Nov.2, 1963 61. Kennedy, John F. U.S.A. Nov. 22, 1963 62. Dorji Jigme P. Bhutan Apr.27, 1964 63. Al-Shishakli, Gen. Adib      
        Brazil
                                   
        Sep.27, 1964 66. Mendez Montenegro Mario Guatemala                     
        Oct.31, 1965 67. Balewa Sir Abubakar          Nigeria                 
               
          Jan.15, 1966 68. Ironsi Aguiyi, J.T.V.           Nigeria                 
                 
        Jul.30, 1966 69. Verwoerd Hendrik F.          South Africa
                         
        Sep.6, 1966 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------       Appendix 2 Unnatural Deaths of pre-colonial Ceylonese Buddhist Sovereigns  [source: James Emerson Tennent, 1859, pp.320-324] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Chronological      
        Name of Sovereign                  
            Date of
        Ascension order as sovereign          and mode of
        death ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10               
        Suratissa – put to death          
                                     
        247 BC 13               
        Elala – killed in battle                             
                     
        205 BC 72               
        Datthapa Bhodi (Dapalu 1st) – committed suicide   
        547 82               
        Kaluna Detu Tissa – committed suicide                
          648 89               
        Hatthadatha (Hununaru Riandalu) – decapitated 
             720 123             
        Wikramabahu 2nd – put to death          
                        
        1196 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------   
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